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The Automotive Finance Markets Shift to Prime … And Other Trends

by Melinda Zabritski 2 min read December 27, 2018

Car dealer showing new car to young couple in showroom

Subprime originations hit the lowest overall share of the market seen in 11 years, but does that mean people are being locked out car ownership? Not necessarily, according to the Q3 State of the Automotive Finance Market report.To gain accurate insights from the vast amount of data available, it’s important to look at the entire picture that is created by the data. The decrease in subprime originations is due to many factors, one of which being that credit scores are increasing across the board (average is now 717 for new and 661 for used), which naturally shifts more consumers into the higher credit tiers.

Loan origination market share are just one of the trends seen in this quarter’s report. Ultimately, examining the data can help inform lenders and help them make the right lending decisions.

Exploring options for affordability

While consumers analyze different possibilities to ensure their monthly payments are affordable, leasing is one of the more reasonable options in terms of monthly payments. In fact, the difference between the average new lease payment and new car payment usually averages more $100—and sometimes well over—which is a significant amount for the average American budget.

In fact, leases of new vehicles are hovering around 30 percent, which is one of the factors that is aiding in new car sales. In turn, this then helps the used-vehicle market, as the high number of leases create a larger supply of quality use vehicles when they come off-lease and make their way back into the market.

On-time payments continue to improve

As consumer preferences continue to trend towards more expensive vehicles, such as crossovers, SUVs, and pickups, affordability will continue to be a topic of discussion. But consumers appear to be managing the higher prices, as in addition to the tactics mentioned above, 30- and 60-day delinquency rates declined since Q3 2017, from 2.39 percent to 2.23 percent and 0.76 percent to 0.72 percent, respectively.

The automotive finance market is one where the old saying “no news is good news” continues to remain true. While there aren’t significant changes in the numbers quarter over quarter, this signals that the market is at a good place in its cycle.

To learn more about the State of the Automotive Finance Market report, or to watch the webinar, click here.

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  As vehicle prices and interest rates continue to evolve, both consumers and lenders are recalibrating their approaches to affordability and long-term sustainability. This shift has resulted in the subprime segment growing to its largest share of total finance market for subprime in the fourth quarter since 2021. According to Experian’s State of the Automotive Finance Market Report: Q4 2025, subprime borrowers accounted for 15.31% of total vehicle financing, an increase from 14.54% in Q4 2024. To understand why the subprime space is evolving, we took a deeper dive into the affordability picture and how changes in pricing and interest rates are influencing both consumer decisions and lender strategies. In Q4 2025, the average loan amount for a new vehicle increased $1,882 from the prior year to $43,582, and the average interest rate for a new vehicle went from 6.34% last year to 6.37% this quarter. As a result, the average monthly payment increased from $746 to $767 in the same time frame. On the used side, the average loan amount increased $872 year-over-year, reaching $27,528 in Q4 2025. However, despite the average interest rate declining from 11.63% to 11.26% during the same time, the average monthly payment grew $9 from last year to $537 this quarter. These changes are prompting thoughtful adjustments across the automotive ecosystem. Consumers are comparing financing options more carefully and adjusting loan terms when necessary to prioritize the cost of ownership. Lenders are also focusing more on payment flexibility and how long-term borrowers are performing as they leverage it for central pillars of strategies to stay ahead of the ever-evolving market. To learn more about automotive finance trends, view the full State of the Automotive Finance Market Report: Q4 2025 presentation on demand.

by Melinda Zabritski 2 min read March 5, 2026

We’re excited to share that Experian Automotive’s client Hamlin & Associates and Honda World have been named winners of the 2025 Automotive News / Ad Age Global Automotive Marketing Award for Best Use of Data — an honor that celebrates meaningful, measurable impact. Why this work stood out Hamlin & Associates' client, Honda World of Louisville, KY, faced a clear challenge: re-engage customers and recover declining service revenue, particularly for vehicles with open recalls. Hamlin & Associates approached the problem with a simple belief: clean, accurate data leads to better outcomes for customers and dealerships alike. They began with data hygiene, then enriched each vehicle record using Experian Automotive’s Recall VIN Verification solution. This created a precise view of who owned which vehicles, which recalls were still open, and when repairs could be completed — all essential to a smooth customer experience. A smarter, more human outreach strategy Over the course of a year, Hamlin delivered four waves of direct mail designed to cut through the noise. Each letter: Spoke directly to the customer Highlighted their specific vehicle Explained the recall in clear language Showed how easy it was to book a free repair The result was a data-driven communication plan grounded in trust and simplicity — and it worked Results that show what’s possible 26% response rate 1,953 repair orders $811,834 in service revenue Thousands of customers are now driving safer vehicles These outcomes reflect more than campaign performance. They demonstrate what happens when dealers, agencies, and data partners collaborate to guide individuals toward safer, more informed decisions. In their words John Hamlin, Hamlin & Associates:“Clean data builds trust. When we combine our hygiene process with Experian Automotive insights, dealers uncover opportunities they never knew they had.” Mike Porro, Honda World:“They keep it simple, and data-driven ‘simple’ gets done. We follow the process, train our staff, and see the results.” Looking ahead We’re proud to celebrate Hamlin & Associates and Honda World for showing what’s achievable when data, insight, and clear communication come together. Their work helps people stay safe, strengthens customer relationships, and sets a new standard for recall outreach. Congratulations to the entire team — and here’s to helping even more drivers move forward Learn more about how to enrich your first-party data with Recall VIN Verification insights!  

by Trish Radaj 2 min read December 18, 2025

Experian Automotive Series | What Auto Marketers Are Prioritizing in the Second Half of 2025 As we close out our four-part series on what auto marketers are prioritizing in the second half of 2025, we’re shifting gears from strategy to execution. It’s time to explore how marketers are operationalizing data, seeking clarity, and building emotional connections that deepen relationships with customers. With the end of the year’s competitive automotive landscape, clarity and connection aren’t just buzzwords—they’re the cornerstones of growth and loyalty for 2026. Let’s start by exploring how clarity empowers today’s marketers to steer their strategies with control. Clarity: Putting marketers in the driver’s seat Data-guided auto marketers who leverage data insights have a clearer understanding of where consumers are on their car-buying journey. You can learn whether car buyers are gearing up for: A longer commute and want an electric vehicle (or a hybrid vehicle).1 Expanding their family and want a top-tier safety rating with cargo space. Factoring in market trends and wanting to be more economical.2 Creating a new and loyal customer base requires dealers, marketers, and OEMs to focus on clarity and connection. This will be more relevant than ever in the final days of 2025. Gone are the days when dealers and agencies used platforms and tools they did not understand. More businesses are simplifying their services and products by offering guides, Artificial Intelligence (AI) tools, tutorials, consultants, and webinars. At Experian Automotive, we're here to do just that, bringing clarity to our auto solutions, such as the Experian Marketing Engine (EME). While the EME tool has robust and dynamic data, two of our most widely used features — AutoAudiences and AutoInsights — stand out for their impact. Let’s break them down in the simplest way: AutoInsights helps marketers define where, what, and how. AutoAudiences helps reach who to target and when they might be in the market. For further clarification, savvy marketers leverage AutoInsights to strategize and understand their market, then activate AutoAudiences to curate marketing opportunities. With these tools empowering clarity, it’s equally important to focus on building genuine connections with car shoppers. Connection: Personalized experiences that drive sales Building a strong connection starts by truly understanding what consumers need and where they are on their car-buying journey. It’s important to know how consumers plan to use their vehicle and how they have serviced their cars in the past (or how they plan to service them in the future). By focusing on these details, marketers and dealerships can create more meaningful relationships and deliver helpful, relevant experiences that customers value. On the journey to better connections, consider your customers’ communication preferences, 2026 plans, and affordability.3 “Human connection...separates good stores from great ones,” notes Dealer Principal, Matt Birckhead at Sir Walter Chevrolet4 , while General Manager, Michael Wood at Jaguar Land Rover Virginia Beach collaborates with his Digital Director, Ryan Montville, to generate vehicle specs and feature descriptions that connect emotionally with target buyers 5 Key Takeaway: Automotive marketers who leverage data-informed clarity and authentic customer connection are best positioned to drive growth and loyalty in the final days of 2025 into 2026. By using innovative tools like Experian Marketing Engine, focusing on consumer needs, and personalizing every interaction, dealerships, agencies, and OEMs can optimize campaigns and foster lasting relationships. Mastering clarity with data and building emotional connections are the keys to success in automotive marketing today. Ready for clarity and connection with Experian data? Lead the way in creating customer-first experiences that fuel long-term growth. Connect with Experian Automotive and start driving measurable impact. Learn More https://www.coxautoinc.com/insights-hub/q3-2025-ev-sales-report-commentary/ https://www.experian.com/automotive/auto-credit-webinar-form https://news.dealershipguy.com/p/inside-q4-s-new-vehicle-trends-and-how-dealers-are-adjusting-2025-10-28 https://news.dealershipguy.com/p/one-price-vs-negotiation-what-four-operators-say-really-builds-trust-and-gross-2025-10-16 https://news.dealershipguy.com/p/5-powerful-chatgpt-hacks-car-dealers-are-using-to-supercharge-their-business-insights-2025-09-19

by Chanté O’Neill 2 min read November 11, 2025

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